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Important Events-2007
 






MEETING OF THE NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT COUNCIL

May 29, 2007

 

Hon'ble Prime Minister,

Respected Minister for Agriculture,

Respected Minister for Rural Development,

Respected Minister for Finance,

Respected Minister for Water Resources,

Respected Vice-Chairman of the Planning Commission,

Hon'ble Chief Ministers and Minister for Agriculture from the states and all officers.

At the outset I would like to thank the hon'ble Prime Minister, hon'ble Agriculture Minister and the Government of India for convening the meeting of the National Development Council to discuss measures for improving the status of agriculture. We have made an in-depth study of the reports of the sub-committee of the National Development Council constituted under the chairmanship of the hon'ble Minister for Agriculture. These reports express serious concern on the fall in agricultural production growth rate and the growing difficulties of farmers. These also seek to identify the reasons and factors responsible for this. However, many things of basic importance seem to have been left out and the solutions suggested are not concrete and holistic, but half-backed. I consider it my duty to draw attention of all of you towards them.

2. First of all, I would like to remind that the momentum gained by Indian economy over last 15-16 years following progress in industrialisation, urbanisation and service sector has been lop-sided. The benefits of this progress have not reached out to a sizeable part of our population, particularly the rural populace and the poor. About 65 percent of country's population is still dependent on agriculture for their subsistence. A total of 56.7 percent of our total work force gets employment in farm sector. Agriculture contributes 20 percent to the GDP and about 11 percent to the export. Entire food requirement and raw material for important industries are met by agriculture sector. Over 40 percent demand of the products of industrial sector depend on the purchasing power of rural population. The fluctuations in farm production, especially the foodgrain and the prices thereof directly impact the general price level i.e. inflation. Any event in farm sector, thus, affects country's entire economy.

3. The country has been grappling with many difficulties and obstacles despite the success of the Green Revolution. I would like to briefly discuss them. At first, I would invite your attention to the misleading presentation of certain statistics. The percent of population dependent on agriculture, which was 75 percent at the time of country's independence, has now come down to 65 percent. The contribution of agriculture to the GDP has been reduced from 61 percent to around 20 percent. Both these are considered the natural outcome and indicators of modernisation of economy and progress. But, the fact is that the population of the country at the time of independence was only 36 crore and three-forth of it i.e., 27 crore was dependent on agriculture. Now, the population has crossed the 1100 millions mark, of which 65 percent i.e. close to 71 crore is dependent on agriculture. Another equally important factor is that earlier 75 percent population shared 61 percent of national income, whereas 65 percent of our populations have now to content with less than 20 percent. The pressure on agriculture land has constantly increased. The size of average holding has shrunk. About 75 percent holdings are of less than two hectare, which are totally unviable as an economic unit. The per capita availability of agricultural land has reduced from 0.36 hectare to 0.12 hectare. The gap between per capita average incomes of those engaged in agriculture and those in other occupations, which was about 1:2 till the 60s has now increased to 1:11.

4. The most horrible picture is that of rainfed areas which comprise 60 percent of arable land. The production per hectare in these areas is stagnant at near one tonne. Eighty percent of the rural poor like in these areas. The sheering Green Revolution has also started fading. The cost of agriculture has also escalated fast in proportion to the productivity and farming is growingly becoming a loss making proposition. Excessive exploitation of land is felling upon its fertility. The wanton use of water and chemicals is harming the environment and health of all the living beings including humans. The excessive use of fertilizers and lack of bio-products have led to heavy deficiency of vital nutrients like zinc, iron, sulfur, manganese. boron etc. All the edible ranges are now found to contain residue of poisonous elements to alarming levels. All the fauna and flora are losing their natural resistance power. The number of various dreaded and incorrigible diseases is on the increase and medical bills now bun a big hole in the pocket of the common man.

5. The anti-farmer price policy has further compounded the difficulties of farmers. The deciding factors of farm price policy from colonial time remained almost unchanged even after the independence. The Government continued to keep the prices of edibles as low as possible to keep in good humane the articulate urban people, organised industrial workers and the industrialists. The Minimum Support Price System did give some relief to the farmers, but subsequently it also became ineffective. A look at the historical pace of relative price rates would make it clear that since the base year 1960-61 till now the relative prices ranged between 82 and 95 percent. As a result of this, the farmers had to incur an economic loss of 12 to 15 percent annually. In other words, this major portion of farmers' income made its way to the pockets of others. Despite this, some well-known policy makers and economists have been advocating imposition of income tax on agriculture.

6. The rate of capital creation in agriculture sector has also been on the decrease. In the 1970s, 21 percent of gross capital creation of the country was done in the farms, which has now come down to 8 percent. The capital creation reduced from 18 percent to a mere 4.2 percent during the period. In last three decades, less than 5 percent of the plan allocation has been provided to agriculture and allied activities, which include forests as well. The rate of investment in agriculture has been equal to that of GDP at 1.3 percent and that in public sector it has been only 0.3 percent during the period. In view of the population dependent on agriculture (65 percent), percent of employment (57 percent) and contribution of agriculture to GDP (average 25 percent) and total investment of the economy (average 26 percent), agriculture sector should have received 18 percent, 15 percent and minimum 6.5 percent investment, respectively. In reality, it received any 1.3 percent.

7. Considering agriculture as a priority sector the Reserve Bank of India has issued directives about two decades back to all the banks that they should advance a minimum 18 percent of their loans as farm loans. But this percent has been 12 to 14 over the period. The C:D Ratio of all rural branches of